March
7, 2008
STV
Question's Still a Secret
Bill
6 (2008) was introduced on March 6th to give the Campbell
government the authority necessary for a second kick-at-the-cat
on BC-STV, ironic since on the same day it introduced improvements
to the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals Act. BC-STV, BC's
version of Ireland's single transferable vote (STV), narrowly
lost in the referendum held concurrent with the 2005 election.
On the eve of the 2005 vote, an Ipsos-Reid
poll found two-thirds of British Columbians knew very
little or nothing about the proposed BC-STV system; that
didn't keep them from voting. The referendum question was
worded like a confidence vote in the process that proposed
the new system.
Since
BC's 2005 close vote, Ontario and Prince Edward Island both
held referendums on changing their first-past-the-post electoral
systems, and both provinces strongly voted for the status
quo, rejecting mixed member proportional representation.
It is useful to compare the referendum questions.
The question
in BC was:
PEI's
question was worded similar to BC's, but 63.6% of voters
in PEI said no. Ontario's question was arguably fairer,
but the result was much the same; 63.1% voted for First-Past-the-Post.
The
Campbell government has had almost three years to think
about its second referendum on BC-STV, yet Bill 6 Section
2(2) provides that the referendum question will be determined
by cabinet; however, the government's
news release says: "The referendum question will
be introduced by government for debate in the legislative
assembly before it is put to voters." In other words,
like they did with opt-out provisions in the MLA pay hike,
the government will make the decision on the crucial question,
but for the sake of politics they will put the question
to a vote in the Legislature to see how the NDP jumps. If
Carole James is consistent with what she said about the
last referendum, she'll vote against BC-STV, but Campbell
knows that Corky Evans, and perhaps other NDP MLAs, supported
BC-STV. Is Campbell playing political games to see if the
NDP caucus splits?
In
2005 no one knew what BC-STV boundaries would look like,
but the 2009 vote will be based on implementing the STV
boundaries drawn by the BC
Electoral Boundary Commission. The devil is in the details,
and those details may make a large majority of British Columbians
say no to STV.