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March 7, 2008

STV Question's Still a Secret


Bill 6 (2008) was introduced on March 6th to give the Campbell government the authority necessary for a second kick-at-the-cat on BC-STV, ironic since on the same day it introduced improvements to the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals Act. BC-STV, BC's version of Ireland's single transferable vote (STV), narrowly lost in the referendum held concurrent with the 2005 election. On the eve of the 2005 vote, an Ipsos-Reid poll found two-thirds of British Columbians knew very little or nothing about the proposed BC-STV system; that didn't keep them from voting. The referendum question was worded like a confidence vote in the process that proposed the new system.

Since BC's 2005 close vote, Ontario and Prince Edward Island both held referendums on changing their first-past-the-post electoral systems, and both provinces strongly voted for the status quo, rejecting mixed member proportional representation. It is useful to compare the referendum questions.
The question in BC was:

"Should British Columbia change to the BC-STV electoral system as recommended by the Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform?"

"Which electoral system should Ontario use to elect members to the
provincial legislature?

The existing electoral system (First-Past-the-Post)

The alternative electoral system proposed by the Citizens' Assembly
(Mixed Member Proportional)"

The question in PEI was:

"Should Prince Edward Island change to the Mixed Member Proportional System as presented by the Commission of PEI's Electoral Future?"

PEI's question was worded similar to BC's, but 63.6% of voters in PEI said no. Ontario's question was arguably fairer, but the result was much the same; 63.1% voted for First-Past-the-Post.

The Campbell government has had almost three years to think about its second referendum on BC-STV, yet Bill 6 Section 2(2) provides that the referendum question will be determined by cabinet; however, the government's news release says: "The referendum question will be introduced by government for debate in the legislative assembly before it is put to voters." In other words, like they did with opt-out provisions in the MLA pay hike, the government will make the decision on the crucial question, but for the sake of politics they will put the question to a vote in the Legislature to see how the NDP jumps. If Carole James is consistent with what she said about the last referendum, she'll vote against BC-STV, but Campbell knows that Corky Evans, and perhaps other NDP MLAs, supported BC-STV. Is Campbell playing political games to see if the NDP caucus splits?

In 2005 no one knew what BC-STV boundaries would look like, but the 2009 vote will be based on implementing the STV boundaries drawn by the BC Electoral Boundary Commission. The devil is in the details, and those details may make a large majority of British Columbians say no to STV.

 
 

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