April
23, 2007
Convention
Centre Expansion in the "Range of $800 million"
In addition
to demanding the terms of reference for the secret
investigation being conducted for the government by
KPMG, the NDP held the government's feet to the fire during
question period last week on the cost overrun for the Vancouver
Convention Centre Expansion. They mocked Tourism Minister
Stan Hagen for referring to the updated costs as being in
the "range of $800 million", but that is the same
phrase used in the budget documents tabled in February by
Finance Minister Carole Taylor.
Hagen's
weak defense of the more than $300 million cost overrun
referred to rising construction costs and he attacked the
NDP, claiming that they don't care about the jobs being
created. Construction costs have gone up but there is no
evidence that they have increased by over 60% in three
years. The Campbell government's benefit projection for
the 2010 games attributed over half the benefits to the
construction of the Convention Centre Expansion. It is universally
recognized that the project is needed; that is not the point.
The question is how did the Campbell government mismanage
it to the extent that it may soon be declared as the biggest
cost overrun of any capital project in the history of the
province (it already exceeds the cost overrun for the fast
ferries). When writing about the ferries, in his 1999 report,
former Auditor General George Morfitt said:
"Large
capital projects have long been recognized to have significant
inherent risks. They involve large sums and are challenging
to manage, as they often are complex, involve new technologies,
and require different skills than are used in normal business
operations. Consequently, project management techniques
for large capital projects have been the subject of considerable
study, and principles have been developed to assist those
responsible for such projects."
It will
fall to a different Auditor General to report on how the
Campbell government failed to properly manage one of the
largest capital projects in the province, but a review of
four years of denial and the government's failure to comply
with legislative requirements for financial reporting on
capital projects would be a good starting point in any study
of what's gone wrong.
The
2003-2004 budget, tabled in the Legislature in February
2003, was the first that provided a cost estimate of the
Vancouver Convention Centre Expansion. It noted that: "Funding
of $67 million in 2003/04, $62 million in 2004/05 and $70
million in 2005/06 provides for the province's share of
the construction costs." In the table of capital projects
in excess of $50 million (a requirement of Section 8 of
the Budget Transparency and Accountability Act), the 2003-2004
budget indicated that the total budget for the Convention
Centre Expansion was $230 million.
The
2004-2005 budget commented on the Vancouver Convention Centre
Expansion Project (VCCEP) when it said: "In December
2003, Tourism Vancouver confirmed its $90 million contribution
to the VCCEP. The province and the federal government had
each previously committed $202.5 million to the VCCEP, bringing
total funding commitments to $495 million." The table
on capital projects over $50 million continued to show the
provincial share of the cost of VCCEP as $230 million.
The
2005-2006 budget was the first to report that the budget
for VCCEP needed significant adjustment. It said:
"The
VCCEP consists of an expansion to the existing Vancouver
Convention and Exhibition Centre, as well as an upgrade
and linkage to the existing facility. Total funding by
the province to VCCEP will total $313 million by 2007/08:
That
looks like an attempt to stick to the $230 million figure
while admitting the project was in trouble and additional
funds would be advanced through Tourism Vancouver via the
province. The shell game had started. The table on capital
projects over $50 million continued to claim that the provincial
share of the cost of VCCEP was $230 million.
The
2006-2007 budget finally admitted that the provincial contribution
to VCCEP would be more than $230 when it said:
"The
Vancouver Convention Centre Expansion Project (VCCEP) represents
a significant investment in tourism for the province. The
total budget for this project is $615 million. This includes
expansion, upgrades of the existing Vancouver Convention
and Exhibition Centre, and interconnection of the existing
and new facilities. Funding for the project is from the
province ($272.5 million), the federal government ($222.5
million), Tourism Vancouver ($90 million) and from upfront
payments related to commercial agreements ($30 million).
The provincial contribution may be reduced if more than
$30 million is realized upfront from commercial arrangements."
Note
the effort to cling to faint hope with the reference to
realization from commercial arrangements. The table on capital
projections over $50 million finally reported an increase
in the provincial cost with the new total provincial budget
figure of $273 million. That figure did not include $90
funded by the province through Tourism Vancouver with the
expectation of eventual repayment.
The
2007-08 budget (this year's) acknowledged that there were
big problems with the budget for VCCEP but it refused to
quantify the extent of the problem. It said:
"The
capital spending plan includes a capital contingency averaging
9.5 per cent of total taxpayer-supported capital spending.
This contingency allowance provides protection against higher-than-expected
construction price inflation. This is expected to absorb
the potential additional cost of the Vancouver Convention
Centre Expansion Project for which a revised project budget
is being developed for review by government."
This
year's budget documents went on to say:
"Preliminary
estimates of an updated project cost are in the range of
$800 million depending upon the contract model selected.
The capital contingency has been increased since Budget
2006 to reflect this pressure. Subject to government approval
of a revised budget for VCCEP, funding will be allocated
from the capital contingencies to the project and reflected
in subsequent quarterly reports and fiscal plans."
The
table listing capital projects over $50 million showed a
total provincial budget for VCCEP as only $281 million,
but it at least included a footnote which said that: "Preliminary
estimates of an updated project cost are in the range of
$800 million depending upon the contract model selected."
The
Campbell government promised to be the most open and transparent
in Canada. It regularly violates the spirit of access to
information legislation, and it also appears to violate
provisions of the Budget Transparency and Accountability
Act. The First Quarterly Report for fiscal year 2007-2008
isn't due until the end of September. There is a slim chance
that is when the Campbell government will finally tell the
public how big the budget over-run is for the Convention
Centre Expansion, but you might not really find out until
the Public Accounts come out in July 2009 for fiscal year
2008-2009. That date conveniently falls two months after
the next election!
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