The
purpose of my original request for Medical Service Plan
premium assistance statistics was not to explore potential
inaccuracies in MSP enrollment lists, but to examine records
that might help to indicate how many families should be
eligible for the government's new Rental
Assistance Program. Over the past week I've posted several
articles giving different estimates of how many more people
may be on the Medical Service Plan's eligibility lists than
there are people in the province. Health Minister George
Abbott told CBC that my figures are correct (that is the
tables provided by the Ministry of Finance are correct),
but my interpretation is wrong. Eventually they may say
that there are only a quarter million more people on the
eligibility lists than there are people in the province,
but you can bet that it will take months of effort and appeals
under the Freedom of Information and Protection of Privacy
Act before they acknowledge that. In the meantime, let's
assume that the 2006
MSP data are correct and look at what that means for
the government's Rental Assistance Program.
Since
records for MSP premium assistance contain almost all of
the necessary information to determine who might qualify
for the Rental Assistance Program, it struck me as odd that
the government wouldn't obtain the necessary approvals to
simply send an application to those who are likely to qualify.
To be eligible
for the Program, families must have one child under
the age of 19, have lived in B.C. for the past 12 months,
been employed at some point during the last year, and have
a gross annual income under $28,000 per year and less than
$10,000 in assets.
The
Program was originally
announced on October 3, 2006, with qualifying incomes
being under $20,000. At that time it was claimed that the
"strategy will immediately assist approximately 15,000
low-income working families and homeless individuals".
On March 1st the qualifying income was increased to $28,000,
the government news
release did not say how many more families were expected
to benefit, but the Minister of Finance's February budget
speech said the expanded eligibility: "
means
5,800 additional families - more than 20,000 in total -
will be eligible to receive extra money to help with their
housing costs."
According
to a spokesperson for BC Housing, 1,360 families are receiving
assistance through the Rental Assistance Program as of March
31, 2007, with another 600 applications being processed.
That is a far cry from the prediction of immediately benefiting
15,000 families.
To
the government's credit, advertisements have recently appeared
at bus stops and in buses to make people aware of the program.
Of course, government also reaps, or hopes to reap, some
political benefit through such advertising by making the
general public aware of the program, even if those who should
benefit fail to enroll. It shouldn't be surprising that
people in the lowest income ranks who face multiple difficulties,
including illiteracy, might not take advantage of a program
in the same way that higher income groups seize on every
change in tax rules. That's one of the reasons why government
should use the resources it has to reach out to those who
might be eligible for the Rental Assistance Program.
The
table obtained from the Ministry of Finance on MSP premium
assistance for 2006, shows that, not including those on
welfare, there were 95,000 two person families with adjusted
incomes of less than $20,000, and 77,000 families with three
or more with adjusted incomes of less than $26,000. Adjustments
consist of subtracting $3,000 for every person over age
65 and for every child. In other words, the subset of those
eligible for the Rental Assistance Program is contained
within the 172,000 families known to the government on the
MSP premium assistance lists. There is an enormous difference
between 172,000 and the government's estimate of about 21,000
families eligible for rental assistance. There are many
factors that reduce the numbers. Some of the families have
no children, some have no employment income and some have
more than $10,000 in assets. If one was serious about
wanting to maximize enrollment in the new program, one would
start by making sure those 172,000 families knew about it,
and since the government has birth-date information in its
records, it could easily narrow its search so as to eliminate
families without dependent children.
It is
a reasonable guess that the most likely group to qualify
for the Rental Assistance Program will be single parent
families. Statistics from Revenue Canada for tax year 2004
(the most recent available) indicate that BC had 175,000
women between the ages of 25 and 54 who filed income tax
returns with incomes between $10,000 and $25,000. Those
records don't indicate how many had income earning partners
or how many had children, but it is again a good bet that
a great many of those eligible for the rental assistance
program are a subset of that 175,000.
The
MSP premium assistance data indicate that 46% of singles,
21% of families with one dependent, and 18% of families
with two or more dependents qualify for some form of premium
assistance. There are a lot of people in BC who have been
left behind. As Finance Minister Carole Taylor said in her
February 2007 budget speech: