November
18, 2007
Strong
Opposition
British
Columbians have a lot to make them concerned. The health system
isn't designed to care for an aging population. Young people
are looking at a future plagued by environmental disasters
caused by global warming. Hundreds of thousands of people
are resentful that the good times left them behind. Those
who've had the good times are worried that the party is over
as stock markets look like an out of control roller coaster
and the US economy heads towards recession. People who mind
their own business have to worry about being shot as innocent
bystanders as a result of gang war violence. Those who care
for those least able to protect themselves need to worry about
child care, failed child protection and inadequate community
services.
With a
list like that you'd think that Carole James and the New Democrats
could use their last convention before the May 12, 2009 election
to spring ahead of the Campbell Liberals and lay out a plan
that would appeal to most voters. The dominate news story
out of the party's convention is a policy to regulate nominations
for the next election. The affirmative action plan requires
that a woman be nominated in any riding where an incumbent
male NDP MLA decides not to run again. With the 29% MLA pay
boost and gold plated pension plan, it is not likely that
many such vacancies will occur. The policy also calls for
30% of nominations in ridings not currently held by the party
to be filled by women and another 10% to be filled by targeted
minorities. If public opinion polls remain as they've been
for the past two years, with a 10 point lead for the Campbell
Liberals, the likelihood of an affirmative action candidate
winning in a constituency not currently held by the NDP is
somewhere between slim and none; with a 10 point gap the party
will be lucky if it doesn't lose half the seats it currently
holds. In that political environment, directing public attention
to an affirmative action policy that strips constituencies
of their ability to choose who will run rather than to the
long list of public policies that need urgent attention shows
an amazing lack of judgment. It would be great if the NDP
attracted high profile women and minority candidates, but
rigging the nomination rules so only candidates in those categories
need apply is a formula for mediocrity.
New Democrats
can always hope that with 18 months before the next election,
Carole James will show that she and her caucus can provide
crisp statements on the issues of the day. Clear leadership
on an issue or two would help people forget or forgive their
poor handling of MLA pay increases, the twinning of the Port
Mann bridge and support for the Tsawwassen treaty. It's a
safe bet that "vote for us because we've stripped constituencies
of their right to choose their own candidate" won't cut
it as a winning issue. If nothing changes between now and
early 2009, my recommendation is for the NDP to campaign on
the need for a strong opposition. A comparison of Campbell's
first and second terms demonstrates that good government requires
a strong opposition. It would not be good for BC if too many
New Democrats were defeated.
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