November
26, 2007
Measure
Campbell's GHG Promises
Interviewed
on CBC radio's Early Edition on November 21, Environment Minister
Berry Penner said he wasn't sure if green house gas (GHG)
emissions were measured by Statistics Canada or by the Federal
Ministry of the Environment. The correct answer is that both
are involved. A full explanation of how greenhouse gases are
measured in Canada is available in National
Inventory Report: Greenhouse Gas Sources and Sinks in Canada
1990-2004. For energy, the
major contributor (82%) of GHG emissions in 2004, the
method
for measuring was to use fossil fuel energy-use data from
Statistics Canada (57-003) and multiply by a fuel- and technology-specific
emission factor. The Inventory Report notes that Statistics
Canada's estimates of energy use at a provincial level are
not as accurate as its estimates at the national level (that
can probably be said about most estimates from Statistics
Canada). Similar methods are used to estimate other sources
of GHG emissions (i.e. data on the volume of a substance are
taken from a Statistics Canada publication and multiplied
by an emission factor). That approach can be called a "macro-estimation"
as opposed to the "micro-estimates" that are necessary
to issue permits on a plant by plant basis as required for
"cap and trade" emission controls.
The
cap and trade process would create a new industry, based on
new government regulations, which would require accredited
bodies to measure emissions for emitters that require
permits, and other firms to verify
the measurements and subsequent emissions. Rick Thorpe,
Minister of Small Business and Revenue, is now the minister
responsible for "regulatory
reform". The regulatory reform website states: "The
regulatory reform initiative focuses on achieving a new goal
of a 'zero-net' increase in regulation between 2004 and 2008."
Perhaps that's another reason why we have to wait a year before
the Campbell government announces how it will reach its targets
for the reduction of GHG emissions. Introduction of cap and
trade GHG emission controls will mark a flip-flop in the Campbell
government's commitment to regulatory reform and the elimination
of the promise of"zero-net increase" in regulations.
Campbell
should reverse several other policies. Health, safety and
consumer protection are a few areas that could also benefit
from a review of 2001-2008 ideologically driven regulatory
reform.
Europe
appears to have embraced the change needed to meet the Kyoto
targets. Campbell has legislated bold targets to start BC
in the direction of major GHG reductions, but there has been
virtually no public discussion of what that will mean for
most British Columbians. When challenged on how the goals
will be met, Environment Minister Penner claimed that two-thirds
of the necessary reductions have already been achieved as
anyone reading the province's energy
plan should be able to see. That is the energy plan that
claims that by 2020 50% of BC Hydro's incremental resource
needs will be met through conservation.
We can all hope that comes to pass, but in 2007 you can't
take that to the bank, especially when we've yet to see any
significant change that will contribute to the necessary conservation.
Of course, by 2020 Premier Campbell and most of the current
MLAs will have retired or been defeated. No one will be able
to hold the new bunch accountable for the failed promises
of their predecessors, but today's children will pay the price
for Campbell's failed promises.
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