January
23, 2004
Are
Weaker Governments Better?
The Citizens'
Assembly on Electoral Reform will meet in Vancouver on January
24-25 for its second study session. The curriculum for its
six
weeks of study is posted on the Assembly's website. It
contains discussion papers prepared by staff and interesting
questions that help to focus attention on some of the trade-offs
between alternative systems.
The question
of whether any vote is "wasted" is one of the topics
on the agenda. One view is that voting for a loser is wasting
a vote; the alternative view is that it is simply not voting
for the winner. The
question of losers comes up again when the curriculum poses
the question of what is fair representation for political
parties in the context of whether representatives should be
elected from geographical constituencies in a modern democracy.
A discussion
paper put before the Assembly at its first meeting characterized
our current system as "adversarial", and it suggested
that "consensual" politics might result from a system
"designed to allow as many different opinions as possible
be represented in parliament and even in government."
It went on to assert that "Consensual politics often
means coalition politics". A second discussion paper
spoke about stable vs. unstable governments but did not go
as far as it might have in pointing to the inherent instabilities
of coalition governments, a feature of proportional representation.
It criticized stable governments as being potentially "arrogant
and insensitive to public opinion, unwilling to compromise
and too easily dominated by 'dictatorial' leaders".
Members
of the Assembly have experience with our "first past
the post" system so it is understandable that more time
will be spent explaining alternative systems. It may be a
mistake, however, to assume that voters chosen at random necessarily
fully understand our current system. It is one thing to vote,
or have the opportunity to vote, every four or five years;
it is quite another thing to understand the relative advantages
and disadvantages of our particular system relative to the
various alternatives.
The six
weeks of study concludes on March 21 with "suggestions
for a draft report". It would be ideal if the Assembly's
work captured the imagination of all British Columbians so
that participation in the public meetings lays the groundwork
for a decision. The Assembly will hit the road in May
and June with a schedule of 40 or more public hearings.
After a summer break, they will return to the Morris J. Wosk
Centre for Dialogue for five meetings focused on reaching
a recommendation which must be delivered by December 15, 2004.
If the
Assembly makes a recommendation, it will go to the voters
at the next election, May 17, 2005. In order to pass, the
referendum must receive the support of 50-percent-plus-one
from 60 percent of the ridings in the province, plus 60 percent
overall voter approval. That kind of "super majority"
may seem onerous, but consider the overwhelming majority vote
that was given to the referendum on recall when it was put
before the voters in 1991. There is a danger that any recommendation
from the Assembly will pass easily without further debate
in the heat of a provincial election. What passes for input
and debate during May and June 2004 cannot possibly be the
equivalent of thorough examination and debate of a specific
alternative which would fundamentally change the composition
of the legislature and the power of the government.
Those
who are concerned about the possible loss of strong majority
governments need to express their opinions to the Assembly
before it finalizes its recommendation.
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