On November
9th Statistics Canada released revised
gross domestic product (GDP) figures for the provinces
and territories. Although the revision yielded slightly
higher numbers for business investment in machinery
and equipment, the figures still do not support the
latest government ad campaign. You may have noticed that
the smiling college students in the Achieve BC ads have
been brushed aside in the latest version of the ad that
boasts about investment. The Campbell government won't win
any awards for truth in advertising. The initial government
ads contained misleading claims about job growth. This time
the ads would have viewers believe that BC is overwhelmed
with new investment.
The
key component of investment is new machinery and equipment.
In the words of BC's Progress Board, "Significant and
ongoing business investment in machinery and equipment is
essential to ensure that a region is constantly adapting
and restructuring itself - necessities for any economy that
hopes to remain competitive." The graph shows business
investment in machinery and equipment from 1996 through
2003. Preliminary data for 2004 won't be available until
the end of April 2005. The red line shows the inflation
adjusted data; the blue line shows the data in constant
dollars. Between 1997 and 2000, investment in machinery
and equipment increased by 18.0% in current dollars, 20.7%
in inflation adjusted dollars. Between 2000 and 2003, investment
DECREASED by 3.3% in current dollars, but it increased by
10.1% in inflation adjusted dollars. That strange outcome
suggests that the cost of machinery and equipment declined
so that more real goods were purchased even though fewer
current dollars were spent.
The
government that constantly refers to the 90s as a "lost
decade" is overseeing an economy that isn't performing
half as well in terms of business investment. That doesn't
stop their TV ads which try to create the opposite impression.