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Based
on some of the email I have received it appears that there
is a need for an adjustment of expectations. One of the frequent
comments is "we cannot wait until the next election".
Other correspondents suggest that a new government should
be expected to reverse the Campbell cuts quickly.
There
is no choice but to wait until May 17, 2005. Nothing is going
to overthrow the Campbell government, and it certainly isn't
going to change from within. It cannot be presumed that the
government will change after next year's election. The Campbell
Liberals and their corporate backers will outspend the NDP
by more than two to one. In 2001 the Campbell Liberals spent
$6.6 million; the NDP spent $3.0 million. In 2001 the Liberals
pulled their negative attack ads. In 2005 they will be dusted
off for a very nasty campaign. Those who want to circle the
wagons and shoot inwards will only help Campbell cling to
power.
There
is no magic wand that will suddenly allow a new government
to reverse what will be four years of cuts by May 17, 2005.
There is no time machine and there is no money machine. Balanced
budgets are not an evil right wing scheme. They are a necessity
if government is not going to become hostage to the banks
and international money markets. NDP governments in Manitoba
and Saskatchewan know that, and Carole James knows that. Without
a bottomless pit of money, a new government will have to look
very carefully at competing demands for each available dollar.
Campbell Liberals will probably accuse James of plotting to
reverse the tax cuts. She has already made it clear that is
not on the agenda, and anyone who thinks about what would
be involved can see how destabilizing another radical tax
shift would be for BC's fragile economy. Campbell not only
made $2.2 billion in income and corporate tax cuts, but he
also clawed back $1.1 billion through increases in the sales
tax, MSP premiums and in dozens of fees. Some people saw all
of their tax cuts clawed back. Marginal changes over several
years may create greater tax fairness but there isn't a pot
of gold waiting to be swooped up by the taxman. That means
money to reverse cuts or meet new spending priorities must
come from economic growth. The rate of growth in BC's economy
will set an upper limit on government's ability to spend.
Those economic realities are as true for the NDP as they are
for the Campbell Liberals. Changing the government will not
change the facts of life; expectations need to adjust to those
limits.
The mean
spirited Campbell government has shown that its agenda consists
of union bashing, program cutting and deregulating. A change
in government can produce a consultative, inclusive style
for the development and implementation of public policy. It
cannot produce magic. Those who listen carefully will hear
Carole James attempting to instill realistic expectations
as she works to hold the Campbell government to account.
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