June
17, 2004
Aftermath
of the Debates
During
the Stanley Cup it was reported that US media ratings on the
game were at a record low, although they were high in Canada.
It is too bad that we don't have instant media ratings on
the federal election leadership debates. In lieu of listening
to the full debate, most people will hear professional spinmasters
from each of the parties putting out their lines. Cynics might
suggest that no one other than political junkies and paid
media commentators could stand two uninterrupted hours of
"vote for me".
The consensus
on Wednesday morning seemed to be that there were no clear
winners in the debate. That doesn't mean that there wasn't
a very big loser. Paul Martin needed to stop his slide in
the polls. He looked like a man in trouble who couldn't give
a satisfactory answer to how he could be a leading Quebec
politician and Minister of Finance without having at least
some idea of what was going on in the sponsorship scandal.
Martin
did not do what he had to do to take his overthrow of Chrétien
to the next level. Soon he will be a footnote in history.
The Liberal party will be in disarray as it goes through a
bitter leadership race that attempts to purge the Martin supporters
while also ridding itself of the corruption that produced
a Harper victory. It will be a challenge for the perpetually
governing party to heal itself in time to challenge Harper's
minority government before it does real damage. Martin appointees
like Dosanjh, Haggard, Chan and Emerson, not to mention Keith
Martin, will be worse than useless in that process.
The NDP
and the Block will form the effective opposition in the most
unstable government Canada has ever produced. Liberal MPs,
in the midst of a leadership fight, will be preoccupied with
their internal fight. Disarray in the Liberal ranks will provide
some security for Harper since it will take the Liberals more
than a year before they will be ready to fight another election.
As voters come to understand that the Liberals stand no chance
to govern, they may listen to Jack Layton's message that NDP
is the best party to hold a Harper government to account.
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