It is
important to check out the footnotes to financial statements.
Notes to the Second
Quarterly Report released by Finance Minister Gary Collins
on November 29th show that contrary to some media reports,
revenue from corporate income tax increased by less than
4%.
For
the first six months of fiscal year 2004-05, BC reported
personal income tax revenue up 8.3% relative to the first
six months of 2003-04, but the Ministry of Finance projects
personal income tax revenues will increase by only 4.1%
on a full year basis. BC reported corporate income tax up
by 9.6% for the first six months, but on an annual basis
it forecast that corporate income tax revenues will be up
by 56.6% relative to 2003-04.
How
could it be that corporate income tax revenue appears to
be booming while personal income tax revenue growth appears
sluggish? The answer is in Appendix A.5 that explains "revenue
assumptions". The note for corporate revenue says:
"Revenue is recorded on a cash basis. Due to lags in
the federal collection and installment systems, changes
to the BC corporate profits and tax base affect revenue
in the succeeding year. For example, 2004/05 installments
from the federal government are based on BC's share of the
national tax base for the 2002 tax-year (assessed as of
December 31, 2003) and a forecast of the 2004 national tax
base."
February's
budget assumed that BC would lose $49 million in
corporate income tax revenues due to adjustments for the
prior year. In the Second Quarterly Report that changed
to the receipt of an additional $154 million for
prior year adjustments. In other words, of the $321 million
improvement relative to the budget, $203 million (63%) is
due to the adjustment for the prior year. If the $203 million
is allocated to the prior year rather than to 2004-05, the
increase drops from 56.6% to just 3.4%!