Soon
Finance Minister Gary Collins will release a report on provincial
government finances from April 1 through September 30, 2004.
In 2001,
Collins released the Second Quarter Financial Report on
November 22nd; he slipped in week in subsequent years, releasing
it on November 28th in both 2002 and 2003. The Budget
Transparency and Accountability Act gives Collins
until November 30th to make his report public.
The
Second Quarter report is the last scheduled economic statement
by the Finance Minister before his budget is tabled on February
15, 2005. In normal times, the release of the Second Quarter
report would be an opportunity to do some minor tweaking
of assumptions based on updated economic data. These aren't
normal times; the election is less than six months away.
The message of good times ahead is unlikely to be tempered
by caution even if there is reason for concerns, a rising
dollar (up 10% since the First Quarter Report was released
in September), and falling exports.
Voters need to keep in mind that the figures for this year's
budget and the one that will be presented in February will
not be tested by an audit until well after the May 17th
election.
Before
the Surrey - Panorama Ridge by-election, the Campbell government
announced the elimination of the half point it previously
added to the sales tax. That was followed by spending announcements
at the Liberal Convention. In order to be credible, the
Second Quarter Financial Report should incorporate costing
of those announcements and update the projections for the
next two years.