September
10, 2003
Opportunities
in the Leadership Tour
The
September 9th leadership debate provided the first formal
opportunity for candidates to speak not only to those in attendance,
but through the media, to the entire province. Until now candidates
have been putting their teams together, launching websites
and doing individual media interviews. A few panel discussions
have been held but none included all 7 candidates.
The current
NDP leadership race is very different from the 2001 battle.
At that time, campaigns pulled the vote for most delegate
selection meetings and in each constituency they ran slates
of delegates who would support them at convention. This time
many of the members would react negatively to slate politics,
which is good because none of the candidates has the organization
and support to run that kind of campaign. It could be that
a substantial number, maybe even a majority of delegates will
go to the November 21st convention without being committed
to any candidate. The campaign as well as the convention speeches
will influence the vote.
The formal
debates are high risk activities because one foolish comment
can be repeated endlessly in the media with the consequence
of dashing all future hopes. Look at the impression Stephen
Harper made with his allegations about the courts and same
sex marriages. He's a laughing stock (or should that be that
he's just like Stock?). A candidate runs the risk of destroying
political opportunities that may have taken years to create.
Candidates must find ways to differentiate themselves; it
calls for great skill to carve out unique, popular positions
without erring on the side of foolish blunders.
Some candidates
may not create the opportunity to be crystal clear on all
issues. "One member one vote" (OMOV), for instance,
is a concept that will come up throughout the 12 stop leadership
tour. That sounds like a simple and popular idea, but it hides
a lot of controversy. The November convention will be a delegated
convention. Every member will have the opportunity to participate
in electing the new leader, but most will only be able to
do so by voting at their local constituency meeting for the
delegates that will attend from that constituency. OMOV refers
to actually having each member vote for a leader, either by
phone, mail or Internet. Several political parties, including
the federal NDP have gone to such systems but the federal
NDP system is really "One member three quarters of a
vote" because union representation is still guaranteed
25% of the total vote. When some candidates say they favor
OMOV they mean going to the model used by the federal party
while others mean eliminating automatic union delegates and
allowing only individual members to vote. You can see how
reference can be made to one of these concepts as OMOV without
everyone understanding precisely what is being advocated.
It will be interesting to see whether the candidates attempt
to made their positions on such issues clear, or whether they
leave room for ambiguity.
"One
member one vote" involves a debate over the party's constitution,
but there are many other issues involving public policy that
provide the opportunities for clarification. With that clarity
goes the possibility of big wins or loses. That's why the
12 debates in the official leadership tour deserve careful
attention. Many members won't be able to attend any of the
debates and will depend on what candidates publish through
their websites and pamphlets, and what the media choose to
report in order to make up their mind. The campaign is about
to attract attention.
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