According
to a contract obtained through a freedom of information
request, more policy changes might be "upcoming"
for Pharmacare. Health Minister Collin Hansen appears to
have been less than perfectly clear when he told the legislature
that UBC would do research "to make sure that no senior
and no British Columbian is negatively impacted in terms
of the ability - based on their ability to pay - to get
the medications that they need."
The
Strategic Policy and Research branch of the Ministry of
Health Planning has a standing research contract covering
the period July 1, 2001 to March 31, 2006, with the Centre
for Health Services and Policy Research (CHSPR) at UBC.
In response to a freedom of information request for the
research contract mentioned by Hansen, the document that
was produced was an amendment to the standing contract.
All the amendment provides with respect to Pharmacare reads
as follows:
"CHSPR
will begin to develop a framework and identify some key
indicators necessary for assessing patterns of pharmaceutical
use by residents of BC. The object will use Pharmacare data
and therefore focus on patterns of use by the elderly. The
project will focus on enhancing CHSPR's ability to measure
key aspects of utilization such as exposure, frequency,
and intensity of use, and where possible, develop categories
of drugs that represent appropriate use, inappropriate use,
and unproven use. The project will allow CHSPR to describe
variations in population-based prescriptions use by the
elderly. While it is expected that the project will provide
relevant perspectives on patterns of pharmaceutical use,
it will more importantly help CHSPR develop a framework
to enhance future capacity to study patterns of pharmaceutical
use and to enhance the Centre's future ability to evaluate
upcoming policy changes in this area."
According
to the Centre's
website, its study will "undertake the comprehensive
evaluation necessary to determine whether these policy reforms
have their intended effects." Of course, it is the
undesirable unintended effects that may be of the most interest.
The
"upcoming policy changes" could involve more than
what has been seen so far. Since the Ministry
is forecasing further double digit increases in Pharmacare
costs (15% in 2004-05 and 14% in 2005-06), don't be surprised
to see more substantial reductions in the amount Pharmacare
pays sometime after the 2005 election.
A study
by Robyn Tamblyn and 13 others, published in the Journal
of the American Medical Association (JAMA.
2001;285:421-429), analyzed the impact of higher user
fees for Quebec's prescription drug program. They looked
at a random sample of 93,500 elderly persons and examined
"Mean daily number of essential and less essential
drugs used per month, ED visits, and serious adverse events
(hospitalization, nursing home admission, and mortality)
before and after policy introduction." The study found
a reduced use of essential drugs and an increase in serious
adverse effects related to that decrease.
The
document released under freedom of information refers to
"Completion of CHSPR's reorganization, following the
budget reduction of 45%, effective April 1, 2002, due to
reductions in the Ministry of Health Planning." Cuts
like that will have a negative impact on health policy research
in BC.
The
staff
at the Centre for Health Studies and Policy Research are
well respected and will no doubt make every effort to thoroughly
evaluate the effects of the changes to Pharmacare. The Centre's
website says that its research will take place over
the next three years in collaboration with researchers from
the Harvard Medical School and the University of Victoria.
It is unlikely British Columbians will see any results from
the research before the next election which will be held
in less than two years.