Why
would Gordon Campbell take the political risk of becoming
personally identified with the RAV
line? In a July 22 Vancouver Sun story by Craig McInnes
and Frances Bula, the Premier is quoted saying that "It's
a great project for B.C. . . and it's a great project for
the region."
The
$1.7 billion Richmond-Airport transit line was not part
of the Olympic bid. A leaked federal report points out that
the project is subject to major capital cost overruns and
over estimation of use which would negatively impact operating
deficits. The federal report also said that its contribution
would come at the expense of work on the Kicking Horse Pass,
Campbell's supposed top priority for federal funds.
If any
of the downsides identified in the federal report are true,
the RAV line could become Gordon Campbell's fast ferry -
except that the initial estimate of $1.7 billion is three
times the cost. By stubbornly advocating for the RAV line,
Campbell is showing the same kind of political judgment
that has sparked the Coquihalla controversy and that led
him to make $2.2 billion in tax cuts before he received
the report from his hand picked Fiscal Review Panel.
What
is it about politicians and mega-projects? Campbell campaigned
saying that he was not going to make the mistakes of the
past, yet his list of projects dwarfs those of previous
governments. He is spending $600 million on the road to
Whistler when a sensible government might have used the
railroad for the two week event. Of course, he is selling
the railroad, another major gamble with the province's economy.
According
to the Campbell government, BC cannot afford child protection
or court houses but it can afford billions for ill conceived,
low priority, mega-projects. Some people can be counted
on to argue that any kind of government spending, no matter
how wasteful, will produce some benefits with a few crumbs
falling off the table to those who pick up temporary jobs.
Some of the RAV apologists who have good temporary jobs
are now in defensive mode as they respond to the leaked
federal document. They are claiming that the document is
"old" and that the "private partner"
will pick up all the risks. Of course, as of yet there is
no private partner and no contract. The companies on the
short list are all proposing to set up separate limited
liability companies to do any deal. Perhaps that is to limit
their liability as any shareholder in those companies would
reasonably expect. The private sector will never write a
blank cheque to cover government errors. On most major contracts
involving public money, there are legal actions between
the government (or its agents) and the private contractor.
Frequently the private contractor has won by simply asserting
that the representations made by government with respect
to the initial contract were incorrect (for example the
tunneling conditions).
Campbell
wasn't supposed to be the kind of foolish spender who blindly
wasted hundreds of millions of tax dollars. He was supposed
to be the kind of politician who looked for the best way
of spending limited funds. The image and the reality are
very different.