The
next NDP leader needs to be able to make a 10 year commitment
to rebuilding the party. The person needs to be articulate,
quick on his or her feet when dealing with the media, patient
when dealing with party activists and wise when dealing
with opposing interests. The new leader should have been
successful in his or her chosen career. The new leader needs
to be able to work with resource dependent communities as
well as with environmentalists. The new leader needs to
be able to win respect for the NDP like Gary Doer has done
in Manitoba. That takes a leader who can help public sector
unions understand that a balanced budget and economic growth
are necessary in order to fund needed services. A debate
around issues like that is precisely the kind of "high
voltage jolt" that Joy MacPhail talked about when making
her announcement; a jolt that will shake off old stereotypes.
At a
time when most minds are focused on summer barbecues, anyone
interested in becoming the leader of the NDP needs to do
a lot of heavy duty campaigning in the next two months.
As of the first week of June, the November 21-22 convention
is 24 weeks away but party rules set the delegate selection
meetings for the period October 1 - November 6, and members
must be signed up 90 days prior to the meeting in order
to vote. In other words, in less than four weeks for the
first possible delegate selection meetings, and in no more
than 9 weeks for the last ones, new members must be signed
up if they want their vote to count in selecting convention
delegates.
For
all practical purposes, the tight timeframe means that the
NDP should be able to avoid the very nasty membership signup
drives that contributed to bitterness around the Dosanjh
leadership bid. If by early August the party's membership
remains around 13,000 it will mean that no "camp"
was able to take advantage of the short time that is available
to sign up new members purely for the purpose of stacking
delegate selection meetings. As of early June, there are
no "camps" but a difference of opinion does seem
to be emerging over whether former MLAs should be considered
as serious contenders.
I have
frequently expressed the opinion that former MLAs should
remain in retirement. They have a role to play in fund raising,
organizing and other unglamorous party duties, but the NDP
would be better off with fresh faces as candidates. That
is doubly so when the leadership is considered. Former MLAs
like Harry Lali, Steven Orcherton or others who have put
out feelers about the leadership could lower the NDP's prospects
in 2005. With the exception of some hopeless has-been assuming
the leadership, almost any capable leader should be able
to help make the NDP competitive in 20 or 30 ridings in
2005, but no leader is likely to be able to make the NDP
competitive with respect to forming a government after just
one term out. The difference between a capable new leader,
and a recycled former MLA, is that the NDP could become
competitive for the following election in 2009.
Some
of the new faces that could run for the NDP leadership have
been approached by the media and have already indicated
that they are otherwise engaged. The response from Victoria
lawyer Murray Rankin, however, was not an outright refusal
to run. Some activists are doing their best to persuade
him to announce that he is a candidate. Others are attempting
to persuade Surrey lawyer Bruce Ralston to take the next
step in his activism. Ralston is a former President of the
BC NDP, and has served several terms as a director of VanCity.
Undoubtedly there will be some successful women who also
emerge as candidates. Hopefully the candidates will also
include serious contenders from BC's Interior. By the end
of June British Columbians should know who wants to lead
the NDP. Serious candidates cannot afford to wait until
July to make their intentions known.