September
4, 2003
Failed
Tax Cuts
Before
the last election Gordon Campbell and Gary Collins repeatedly
misled British Columbians with claims that tax cuts pay for
themselves. When he appeared on CKNW's Jennifer Mather show
this week, Premier Campbell was asked why his tax cuts failed.
He denied the failure referring to selective statistics on
job creation. BC's job record is not nearly as good as claimed
by the Premier, but the claim about tax cuts was specific
enough in the New Era document so that no one need be misled
on how to measure the extent of the failure.
Page 5
of Campbell's book of election promises said that "lower
personal income tax rates lead to higher revenue - not less."
If there were any confusion as to whether that meant higher
revenue due to equalization payments or higher revenue from
the tax that was cut, the book went on to say that "In
Canada, nine provinces cut personal income tax rates since
1995, including BC. In every case, audited financial statements
show that income tax revenues are now 9% to 36% higher than
they were before rates were cut". The BC Liberals appear
confused about cause and effect. In a growing economy, governments
can afford to cut taxes as part of the way they distribute
growing revenues; revenue will continue to grow as long as
the cuts aren't too deep - in BC the economy is flat and the
tax cuts were extreme.
Campbell's
failed experiment with tax cuts is dramatically illustrated
by his own budget documents (see http://www.bcbudget.gov.bc.ca/bfp/bgt2003_appendices_table-a8.htm).
Personal income tax revenue was $5.963 billion in fiscal year
2000-01. It fell to $4.216 in 2002-03. The most recent budget
forecasts that it will be $5.337 billion in 2005-06. The
Campbell government's estimate for income tax revenue five
years after the cuts is more than $600 million below the pre-cut
level. That is why it is accurate to say that the tax cuts
failed; no amount of bafflegab from the Premier can hide that
failure.
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