December
12, 2002
Bankrupt
Policy Sinks Ferry Promise
What
would happen if the new "private" operating company
for BC Ferries went bankrupt? The answer to that question
tests the government's rhetoric about fare and service guarantees.
It also influences the accounting treatment for debt arising
as the result of new capital spending. The promise of "no
new public debt" might not survive after the Auditor
General examines how accounting will be handled by government
for the new company.
Failed
public-private partnerships in both the UK, and recently
between BC Hydro and the company that was to partner on
generation on Vancouver Island, demonstrate that when the
private partner gets into trouble, the public partner steps
in and fills the gap. The government of British Columbia
cannot afford to allow coastal communities to go without
ferry service. It may make great politics to picture the
fast cats being auctioned off, but try picturing significant
portions of the fleet being sold so as to cover a bankrupt
operating company.
David
Emerson has argued that crown corporations are different
from private companies in their treatment of debt and the
cost of capital. It is true that BC Ferries have benefited
by the taxpayer picking up the full costs of the fast ferries.
It is not true that private companies lack techniques for
wiping the slate clean. That is what bankruptcy is all about
- corporations continue with clean balance sheets as their
creditors take pennies on the dollar, sometimes forcing
asset sales in the process.
The
complicated new arrangement, in which the government will
hold convertible preferred shares and debt against the new
operating company, is fundamentally different than investments
in private companies that governments have made in the past.
In the case of the ferries, government would step in and
assure continued operation if the operating company could
not honour its commitments. That is the reason the Auditor
General will probably refuse to let government keep the
operating company's debt off of the government's books.
For years the Auditor General has argued that the debt of
school boards should be reported as part of government's
debt. Effective April 1, 2004, government will adopt generally
accepted accounting principles and include school boards,
universities, health authorities, and probably the ferry
operating company in its summary financial statements In
other words, there will be new public debt as the result
of the ferry operating company. To deny that is to say that
rate and service guarantees are not worth the price of a
dog eared copied of the "New Era Document".
December
10, 2002
BC
Ferries - No Longer a Public Highway
"
continued
public ownership of ferry terminals, no new public debt
"
Transportation
Minister Judith Reid, December 9, 2002
Is there
a reason the Minister mentioned ferry terminals but not
ferries? "No new public debt" answers that question.
The Campbell government is privatizing BC Ferries using
the same formula that it applied to BC Hydro - freezing
the public asset, shifting new capital construction to private
corporations, and claiming that a government appointed regulator
will protect the public. That model comes from a government
that has failed to attract private sector investors for
any of its pet projects. Maybe private companies will build
ferries although it is doubtful whether they can assure
adequate new construction when rates of return are constrained
by a five year limit on fare changes and no further public
subsidy.
The
"service plan" for the British Columbia Ferry
Corporation 2002/03 - 2004/05 will have to be replaced with
new plans for the British Columbia Ferry Authority. Comparisons
are made to the Vancouver Airport Authority but air travelers
know that the "genius" of that Authority was nothing
more than a tax grab called an "improvement fee"
levied on every person passing through YVR.
Public
access to information on the new BC Ferry Services, a company
to be incorporated like any private company, may depend
on the good will of the new regulatory authority. Don't
be surprised if much of that information is treated as private
so as not to jeopardize the competitive position of the
company. Until government provides more information on the
restructured coastal ferry operation, it remains worthwhile
to look at a key line in the "service plan" for
the existing Crown Corporation.
British
Columbia Ferry Corporation has been treated as part of the
province's highway system. The two main routes to Vancouver
Island were the only part of the system that operated in
the black. Subsidies from the motor fuel tax have been provided
to BC Ferries just as subsidies have been provided for the
operation of roads and bridges in every corner of BC. The
Crown Corporation's "service plan" (http://www.bcferries.bc.ca/corporate/BCF-Service_Plan2002.pdf)
shows that it expects to receive a provincial grant of
$73.85 million in fiscal year 2002/03; $75.95 million in
2003/04; and $78.05 million in 2004/05. Not one word can
be found on the government's website on the "restructuring"
as to whether the new operating authority can count on those
and continued grants from the motor fuel tax. It is
possible that some form of grant will continue with the
new arrangement, but the size and reliability of that grant
will determine future fares and service levels. To put it
in perspective, the grant is almost 25% of the amount of
revenue raised through ferry fares; it is more than the
gross catering income.
Minister
Judith Reid's
speech said the new approach will provide "
safe
and reliable ferry system that provides superior service
to British Columbians while ensuring no financial risk to
taxpayers". If the taxpayers don't bear the financial
risk, who will? Is it possible to provide a five year rate
guarantee at the same time that taxpayers are protected
and service is guaranteed? Government announced "Starting
Nov. 1, 2003, rate increases will be capped at an average
of 2.8 per cent a year for the three major routes connecting
Vancouver Island to the mainland and 4.4 per cent a year
for the remaining minor, northern and Sunshine Coast routes
for five years." The deregulation of wholesale power
rates in California at the same time that retail rate guarantees
were in place resulted in chaos. BC may find that it is
not possible to guarantee rates as well as guarantee both
service levels and protection for taxpayers. If costs go
up or the traditional fuel tax subsidy goes down, something
in that formula has to break.